Theory of Change

Theory of Change makes explicit the assumptions about how interventions create impact, then tests whether they hold. We map causal pathways, identify necessary intermediate outcomes, and surface contextual conditions required for mechanisms to work.

We treat Theory of Change as reflective practice, revisiting assumptions as complexity reveals itself. The power lies in conversations about what we think will work, why, and for whom: not in producing perfect diagrams. We’ve developed Theories of Change for national Just Transition frameworks and complex social interventions in EU industrial settings, always treating them as living documents that evolve with learning.

Links: Drabble, D. and Simeone, L. (eds.) (2021). Strategic Thinking, Design and the Theory of Change. London: Routledge; Measuring and evaluating success in the Scottish Just Transition